Many people were shocked after Donald Trump won the United States presidential elections of 2016. They were fooled by false sense of security, supported by many mainstream poll and prediction sites forecasting Hillary Clinton to win. But how could the pollsters be so wrong? And how is it possible to improve future predictions? These are some of the questions, the book The Signal and the Noise wants to answer.
What has the legalization of abortion to do with the crime drop rate in the late 1990s? Nothing, you might think at first. The authors of the book Freakonomics would argue against your thought. Steven Levitt is a professor of economics at the University of Chicago. Stephen Dubner is a journalist working for ABC News and The New York Times. They met at an interview and decided to work together on several books. This book was a result of their productive cooperation.
In 1996 the U.S. government developed the then fastest supercomputer in the world. The project cost about $55 million and occupied a floor space of about 80 percent of a tennis court. The machine reached the power of 1.8 teraflops. Just nine years later another computer hit this benchmark. The difference: It could fit into every living room and cost only about five hundred dollars. The computer was the PlayStation 3, developed by Sony.